8
Akermanis Gold
5yo Gelding · 8-12
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/02/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 08/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |