11

Bright Inheritance

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA57 @ Sha Tin 22/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m Gd 132 · beat its mark22/06/2025 · OR 57 par22/0657OR 57BHA56 @ Sha Tin 13/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m Gd 131 · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Sha Tin 21/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m Slo 130 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 54 par21/0954OR 54C0 @ Sha Tin 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m GF 1284 @ Sha Tin 30/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m Gd 131 · beat its mark30/11/2025 · OR 54 par30/114OR 54BHA54 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m Gd 130 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 54 parBHA52 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m1f Slo 128 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 52 par7/0652OR 52BHA50 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m1f Yie 128 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 50 parBHA48 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m1f Gd 124 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 48 par4/0748OR 48projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA4810th10th0
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA5012th12th0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA528th8th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA5411th11th0
2025-11-30Sha Tin46th6th0
2025-10-26Sha Tin?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0626/107/064/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/202510th14/126%31%+0.04
13/07/202510th20/10%31%+0.31
21/09/20257th25/10%50%+0.50
26/10/20252nd9/276%92%+0.16
30/11/20256th14/126%62%+0.35
24/05/202611th12/137%23%-0.14
07/06/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
13/06/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
04/07/202610th40/10%31%+0.31