11

Bright Inheritance
7yo Gelding · 8-7
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sha Tin | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 13/07/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 24/05/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 13/06/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |