6
Casa Rochester
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 12th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |