7
Decision Link
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 73% | -0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 15% | -0.53 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |