1
Exceed The Limit
4yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA61 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |