9

Lucky Together

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 9.8)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 01/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 1221/01C?BHA63 @ Sha Tin 18/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 63 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 63 parBHA61 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 61 · 6f GF 120 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 61 par14/0261OR 61C0 @ Happy Valley 11/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f Gd 118C0 @ Sha Tin 01/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1321/04C?C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 131C0 @ Happy Valley 20/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 13020/05C?C0 @ Happy Valley 24/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 128C0 @ Happy Valley 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m Goo 12815/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Happy Valley?5th5th0
2026-06-24Happy Valley?12th12th0
2026-05-20Happy Valley?9th9th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?4th4th0
2026-04-01Sha Tin?11th11th0
2026-03-11Happy Valley?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0111/0320/0515/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/202612th50/10%15%+0.15
18/01/202613th100/10%8%+0.08
14/02/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
11/03/20269th80/10%20%+0.20
01/04/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
29/04/20264th40/10%73%+0.73
20/05/20269th7/163%27%-0.36
24/06/202612th25/10%0%0.00
15/07/20265th16/116%64%+0.48