4
Mega Mastermind
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA55 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA55 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |