3

Rainbow Seven

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 01/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 1291/10C?BHA51 @ Sha Tin 19/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 51 · 7f GF 126 · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 51 parBHA49 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 49 · 7f Gd 125 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 49 par23/1149OR 49BHA47 @ Sha Tin 14/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 47 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark14/12/2025 · OR 47 parC0 @ Happy Valley 04/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1254/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 120C0 @ Happy Valley 18/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12718/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 129C0 @ Happy Valley 08/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1318/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-05-27Happy Valley?0
2026-04-15Happy Valley?4th4th0
2026-03-18Happy Valley?2nd2nd0
2026-02-25Happy Valley?1st1st0
2026-02-04Happy Valley?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1014/1218/038/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20258th11/142%46%+0.04
19/10/202511th20/10%23%+0.23
23/11/20257th10/147%54%+0.06
14/12/20256th25/10%62%+0.62
04/02/202611th5/287%9%-0.78
25/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
18/03/20262nd5/696%91%-0.05
15/04/20264th11/486%73%-0.13
08/07/20268th40/10%36%+0.36