2
Shooting To Top
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Happy Valley · Wong Chuk Hang Handicap · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
16/5
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |