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8

Chancheng Sparkle

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12631/05C?C5 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f Yie 12613/06C5C5 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f Gd 1264/07C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha Tin?4th4th0
2026-06-13Sha Tin?2nd2nd0
2026-05-31Sha Tin?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0513/064/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +34.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20265th11/271%69%-0.02
13/06/20262nd17/255%83%+0.28
04/07/20264th20/10%67%+0.67