6
Cloud Nine
4yo Gelding · 9-3
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 54% | -0.33 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 15% | -0.50 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |