1
Friends of Shajing
4yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 16/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |