9
Invictus
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -19.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 77% | -0.09 |