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3

Leading Dragon

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 52 · 5f Gd 127 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 52 par25/0152OR 52BHA52 @ Sha Tin 01/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 52 · 5f Gd 127 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 52 parC0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 5f Gd 12722/02C?BHA49 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 49 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 49 parBHA50 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 50 · 6f Gd 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 50 par3/0550OR 50BHA50 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 50 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 50 parBHA48 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 48 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 48 par7/0648OR 48BHA55 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 55 · 6f Gd 131 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 55 parC0 @ Happy Valley 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1309/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Happy Valley?4th4th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA554th4th0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA481st1st0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA5011th11th0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA503rd3rd0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA492nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0112/047/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20265th50/10%69%+0.69
01/02/20266th11/142%62%+0.19
22/02/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
12/04/20262nd7/163%91%+0.28
03/05/20263rd7/282%85%+0.03
24/05/202611th11/271%23%-0.48
07/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
04/07/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
09/09/20264th6/168%73%+0.04