14

My Wyndfall

5yo Gelding · 9-2

Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 7f GF 129 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 52 par12/0752OR 52
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA5212th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/202612th66/10%15%+0.15