2
Tactical Ace
4yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Deep Water Bay Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |