7
Dashing Maurison
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · The Hong Kong Country Club Challenge Cup (handicap) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA39
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA39 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.22 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |