1
Glorious Journey
7yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · The Hong Kong Country Club Challenge Cup (handicap) · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 25/03/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 27% | -0.49 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |