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5

Inno Super

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Happy Valley · The Hong Kong Country Club Challenge Cup (handicap) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Sha Tin 09/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m Gd 125 · beat its mark09/11/2025 · OR 50 par9/1150OR 50BHA48 @ Sha Tin 20/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 48 · 7f Gd 123 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 48 parC0 @ Happy Valley 14/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12114/01C?C0 @ Happy Valley 11/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 124C0 @ Happy Valley 18/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12818/03C?BHA53 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 53 · 1m Gd 129 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 53 · 1m Gd 130 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 53 par21/0653OR 53BHA52 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 52 · 1m1f Gd 128 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 52 parC0 @ Happy Valley 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m Gd 1279/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Happy Valley?3rd3rd0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA523rd3rd0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA536th6th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA536th6th0
2026-03-18Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-02-11Happy Valley?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1111/0221/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20256th5/287%62%-0.25
20/12/202511th16/116%23%+0.07
14/01/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
11/02/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
18/03/20268th13/266%36%-0.29
24/05/20266th40/10%62%+0.62
21/06/20266th33/10%62%+0.62
04/07/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85
09/09/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54