10
King Of Selection
5yo Gelding · 8-8
Happy Valley · The Hong Kong Country Club Challenge Cup (handicap) · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 11.1)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/10/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/01/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |