10
Casa Buddy
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Happy Valley · Island Handicap · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 12.7)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/05/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |