IvyArcIvyArc
2

Copper Core

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Happy Valley · Island Handicap · 5f

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 22/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 12122/04C?C0 @ Happy Valley 27/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 5f GF 12027/05C?C0 @ Happy Valley 24/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 11924/06C?C0 @ Happy Valley 08/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 1198/07C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Happy Valley?11th11th0
2026-06-24Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-05-27Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-04-22Happy Valley?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0427/0524/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/202611th14/126%9%-0.17
27/05/202610th80/10%18%+0.18
24/06/202610th100/10%18%+0.18
08/07/202611th80/10%9%+0.09