6
Double Alpha
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Happy Valley · Island Handicap · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 42% | -0.44 |
| 15/07/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |