8
Flying Ting Lok
6yo Gelding · 8-12
Happy Valley · Island Handicap · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/05/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 25/06/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 07/12/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 10/06/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |