1
Jumbo Blessing
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Island Handicap · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 77% | -0.10 |
| 22/02/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 15% | -0.58 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 45% | -0.46 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 55% | -0.32 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |