4
Superb King
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Happy Valley · Island Handicap · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 10% | -0.74 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |