3
Akashvani
5yo Gelding · 9-7
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA77 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA79 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA82 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 01/03/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 09/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 13/06/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |