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10

Anode

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA73 @ Sha Tin 20/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 73 · 1m Gd 129 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 73 par20/1273OR 73C0 @ Happy Valley 14/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 124BHA69 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f GF 128 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 69 par14/0269OR 69BHA67 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 67 · 6f Gd 125 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 67 parBHA65 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f GF 120 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 65 par15/0365OR 65BHA63 @ Sha Tin 19/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 63 · 6f Gd 120 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 63 parBHA60 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 60 · 6f Goo 135 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 60 par17/0560OR 60BHA57 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 57 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 57 parBHA63 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 63 · 6f GF 120 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 63 par13/0963OR 63projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA637th7th0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA571st1st0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA6011th11th0
2026-04-19Sha TinBHA6311th11th0
2026-03-15Sha TinBHA657th7th0
2026-03-01Sha TinBHA677th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/121/0317/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20259th22/10%38%+0.38
14/01/202611th22/10%9%+0.09
14/02/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
01/03/20267th16/116%40%+0.24
15/03/20267th40/10%45%+0.45
19/04/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
17/05/202611th12/137%9%-0.28
27/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
13/09/20267th18/15%54%+0.49