9
King Miles
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 14/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/02/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 08/04/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |