6
Power Koepp
8yo Gelding · 9-1
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/02/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |