13
Ace Champion
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/10/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 24/06/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 9% | -0.75 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |