14
Devas Twelve
7yo Gelding · 8-8
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 03/12/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 17/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |