1
Harmony N Blessed
10yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |