7
Storming Dragon
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |