2
Straight To Glory
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Mount Butler Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 27% | -0.49 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |