5
Fivefortwo
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Happy Valley · Tai Hang Handicap · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |