12
Flying Fortune
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Happy Valley · Tai Hang Handicap · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/02/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 09/05/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |