1
Ka Ying Generation
6yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Tai Hang Handicap · 1m 1f
#12
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA93 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA82 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 25/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |