13
Pocketing
5yo Gelding · 9-3
Happy Valley · Tai Hang Handicap · 1m 1f
#14
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA81 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +18.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |