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8

The Auspicious

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Happy Valley · Tai Hang Handicap · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

89%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA67 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 67 · 1m1f GF 118 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 67 par11/0167OR 67BHA67 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 67 · 1m1f Gd 118 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 67 parC0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 12319/02C?BHA67 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 67 · 1m2f Gd 118 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 67 parBHA67 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 67 · 1m1f GF 123 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 67 par22/0367OR 67BHA66 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 66 · 1m2f Gd 121 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 66 parC0 @ Happy Valley 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 11922/04C?C0 @ Happy Valley 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 1293 @ Happy Valley 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 12710/063projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-10Happy Valley34th4th0
2026-05-13Happy Valley?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22Happy Valley?1st1st0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA666th6th0
2026-03-22Sha TinBHA679th9th0
2026-03-01Sha TinBHA675th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/011/0322/0410/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20263rd5/174%85%+0.11
08/02/20264th12/137%77%+0.40
19/02/20267th15/261%54%-0.07
01/03/20265th11/271%69%-0.02
22/03/20269th14/126%33%+0.07
06/04/20266th9/153%50%-0.03
22/04/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
13/05/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14
10/06/20264th3/184%73%-0.11