Latigo
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 98
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 1/2 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |