1
Maximus C
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |