4
Cloudy Star
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 80
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |