3
Sakra's Quest
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 11/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |