IvyArcIvyArc
6

Sweet Saint

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 71

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 72 par10/09C5OR 72C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 1m Slo 119 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 74 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Slo 122 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 75 par30/10C5OR 75C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f 119 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 1m 119 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 82 par21/04C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 1m70y Fas 119 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 72 par18/06C5OR 72C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m110y 119 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m 119 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 73 par22/08C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-07-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-05-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-04-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0913/1118/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20253rd11/893%50%-0.43
07/10/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
30/10/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
13/11/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
21/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
14/05/20268th4/179%0%-0.79
18/06/20263rd4/696%50%-0.46
14/07/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
22/08/20268th9/276%0%-0.76