7
High Street Pizzaz
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 12/04/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |