2
Royal Scarlett
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 66
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |