5
Cupid's Runaway
6yo Gelding · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 6th | 4/5 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |