2
Hawkeye
5yo Gelding · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |