1
Scotty's On Edge
7yo Gelding · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |